View With bitcoin's rise to 17-month highs, the Mayer multiple is teasing a break above 2.40 - a level that has marked the beginning of speculative bubbles in the past.
Bitcoin's surging price over the last week is reminiscent of the bull market frenzy observed a year and a half ago.
The leading cryptocurrency by market value rose to a 17-month high of $12,936 on Bitstamp earlier today.
Notably, with the near 90-degree rally to 17-month highs, the ratio of bitcoin's price to the 200-day price average - known as Mayer multiple - printed a high of 2.42, a level which was last seen in early January 2018.
The Mayer multiple essentially quantifies the spread between the price and the 200-day MA. An above-1.0 ratio indicates BTC is in bull market territory above the 200-day MA, while a reading below one implies the cryptocurrency is in a bear market below the 200-day MA. That said, over the years it has been observed that a reading above 2.4 signifies the beginning of a temporary speculative bubble - a self-feeding cycle of higher prices attracting more bids, leading to further rally.
The Mayer multiple rose above 2.4 on Mar. 4, 2013, when the price was trading at $36.00, representing 176 percent gains over lows near $13 seen in December 2012.
Further, prices rose from $11,000 to $20,000 in 16 days following the ratio's rise above 2.4 percent on Dec. 1, 2018.
Again, the bubble was short-lived, with prices falling to $12,000 on Dec. 22.
By Dec. 18 the price was trading at lows near $350. So, if history is a guide, then the fear of missing out may kick in once the Mayer multiple finds acceptance above 2.40, leading to further price rise toward the record high of $20,000.
While the case for a minor pullback is looking strong, the overall outlook will remain bullish as long as the price is held above the May 31 high of $9,097 and the cryptocurrency could chart another meteoric rise toward $20,000 if the Mayer multiple rises above 2.40.
Bitcoin's Price Is Up 43% in 7 Days as Bull Frenzy Grips Market
Publicado en Jun 26, 2019
by Coindesk | Publicado en Coinage
Coinage
Mencionado en este artÃculo
Noticias recientes
Ver todo
Blockchain Bites: Bitcoin's Run, Uniswap's Hemorrhaging Value, Anchorage's Banking Bid
Bitcoin is nearing all-time highs in price and market cap last set three years ago.
Japan's megabanks to lead experiment with digital yen
We have, in order, Cheese Bank with a $3.3 million theft, Akropolis with its $2 million loss, Value DeFi with a whopping $6 million exploit and finally Origin Protocol's loss of $7 million.
Number of new Bitcoin addresses spikes amid growing FOMO
Japan's three largest banks, as part of a group of 30 private sector actors, are set to collaborate on an experiment with a digital yen.
Not just Wall Street: Quant trader explains why Bitcoin price is going up
Sam Trabucco, a quantitative trader at Alameda Research, believes four general factors are pushing up the price of Bitcoin.